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Credit Crisis Report 10/12/2008 Problems Deepen (MS)(RBS)(HBO)(FNM)(FRE)(GM)(F)

The IMF said that the world banking system faces of meltdown if governments does not take immediate action to support that largest banks ... . Bloomberg reports that Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) began notifying bond traders ... credit derivatives linked to Lehman Brothers are likely to be higher than anticipated after auctions [more...]

Date: 2008-10-12 11:41:21

Blog posts (109) | Videos (141)

Housing Bill a Major Threat to Privacy

Shares in stricken government-chartered mortgage giants Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) ... up in the final version of the bill: 1) Nearly all credit-card transactions will be tracked and reported ... fingerprint registry. Let's start with the credit card (and debit card) provision first.  Former [more...]

Date: 2008-07-24 14:03:21

UBS preparing “charm” marketing campaign

Zurich, Switzerland (TSR, Fre) - UBS Wednesday will unveil a new charm offensive in a four-week campaign featuring clients who are happy with the ... the initial plan will be enough. TSR this morning broadcasts a short report, available online, suggesting that UBS and Credit Suisse might consider joining forces. [more...]

Date: 2008-11-25 09:46:02

Taiwan Dumps Fannie, Freddie, and Uncle Sam?

Not only China, but even our ally Taiwan, is rethinking their faith in U.S. securities.. ... ), Freddie Mac (FRE) and Ginnie Mae securities, according to a report on the Internet site of Asian ... in U.S. agency securities as the Republic of China has openly questioned their credit quality -- even [more...]

Date: 2008-10-28 02:38:15

Fund Performance Period 9

As a reminder, if you are interested in this type of fund as a worthwhile consideration for future investment, please consider reading why this blog exists. Our story in Barron's Or if you are just here for daily market / economic commentary or stock trades to follow on your own, consider supporting the blog via donation ( paypal buttons can be found on the [more...]

Date: 2009-09-14 19:30:00

September 11 2009: Through the prism of fraud and poverty

Timothy H. O'Sullivan He sleeps where he fell May 1864 Spotsylvania Court House, Virginia. Dead Confederate soldier near Mrs. Alsop's house. Grant's Wilderness Campaign, May-June 1864 Ilargi: I’ll try to take a slightly different approach today, while remembering the dead, and let someone else do the talking for a change. Yesterday, I picked up the article below, written by an investment adviser named J. S. Kim, who puts his finger right where it hurts most. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-11 16:01:00

Head for Cover

Clowns to the left of us… Jokers to the right… The Simpleton’s Analysis: Consumers cut back. The economy sank. Now, government must take action. It must help people out and take up the slack. The downturn took $12 trillion off Americans’ net worth. The feds have pledged about $12 trillion to fix the problem. But wait, where does government get any money? Hey, they borrow it, just like consumers did. And besides, it’s ultimately the same money – taxpayers’ money. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-08 20:38:34

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News

Judge holds up BoA settlement. A judge is refusing to allow Bank of America ( BAC ) to pay a $33M settlement to the SEC in connection to allegations that it made false statements about bonuses in its acquisition of Merrill Lynch, even though both the SEC and Bank of America asked for the settlement to be approved. Judge Jed S. Rakoff said permitting the payment without a hearing would leave the public in the dark about a critical part of the financial sector bailout. Rakoff set a hearing date for Monday. [more...]

Date: 2009-08-06 11:17:09

In The News Today

Dear CIGAs, You know a little payback feels good. The following video might make you feel good when you watch it. Please do. Jim Sinclair’s Commentary You want to sell some minerals? Got extra crude? Just Call 1-800-CHINA-AU. Jim Sinclair’s Commentary You are in Africa and China or you are nowhere for minerals. You think some very large legal and illegal shorts are nearing a lasting spiritual experience by being indiscriminately short junior resource companies? I do. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-02 22:39:00

Fed: Growth, No Near-Term Inflation – Analyst Blog

The Federal Reserve decided to keep the Fed Funds rate at its historically low level, and noted that growth was starting to pick up and there was very little threat of near-term inflation. The current statement and the one from the previous meeting (8/12) are presented below, along with my analysis of the statements and the differences between them. "Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August suggests that economic activity has picked up following its severe downturn. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-23 20:17:40

The U.S. Housing Market’s False Dawn

Why Did These Companies Cream the S&P 500? By Martin Hutchinson Contributing Editor Money Morning Is the U.S. housing market truly at a turning point, as investors seem to increasingly believe? Or is this actually a false dawn, meaning that there are problems and pain ahead for those who turned bullish too soon? New home sales jumped almost 10% in July, while the Case-Shiller home price index rose for the second successive month. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-01 16:36:21

Economy Out of the Woods? – Analyst Blog

After almost a year of initiating the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), a lot has improved with respect to the economic crisis. Though the economy is in far better shape now than a year ago, there are persistent problems which need to be addressed by the government before shifting the strategy to growth. We believe that the U.S. economy will regain the growth momentum once these issues are resolved. On Thursday, U.S. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-11 14:01:38

Words from the (investment) wise August 30, 2009

Words from the (investment) wise for the week that was (August 24 – 30, 2009) Stock markets, in general, again logged gains last week as pundits perceived economic data to be better than expected. But the recovery path is not home and dry yet, as shown by declines in crude oil, a number of emerging stock market indices, small cap indices and high-yield corporate bonds. All said, risky assets displayed some fatigue despite positive economic reports. [more...]

Date: 2009-08-30 13:00:46

Obama’s Regulatory Reform Plan – Analyst Blog

President Obama "unveiled" his regulatory reform plan today. Most of the details of the plan had already been revealed earlier and the "near-final" draft was released by the Administration last evening. The administration has focused on five key areas for reform, which we have highlighted below along with the important actions proposed in those areas: 1) Promoting Robust Supervision and Regulation Raising capital and liquidity requirements Supervision by the Fed for all "too [more...]

Date: 2009-06-17 18:55:45

The Hole in FDIC

The Hole in FDIC September 18, 2009 By John Mauldin Elements of Deflation, Part 3 Outrageous! – Artificial Deflation! If You Are in a Hole, Stop Digging! The Hole in the FDIC How Can Just Four Stocks Be 40% of the NYSE Volume? New Orleans and a Mauldin Migration to Europe This week we continue to look at what powers the forces of deflation. As I continue to stress, getting the fundamental question answered correctly is the most important issue we face going forward. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-19 22:18:06

In The News Today

Dear CIGAs, It is not if, nor when, nor is it beckoning, but is the fact of present time. In the Fiscal sense the West is already ruined, will stay ruined and will not recover to even a part of its formal greatness. Asia is on the rise and Africa will benefit from their thirst for raw materials. What a contrast to what was only five years ago. It is amazing how greed and ego has ruined what so many sacrificed so much for. Face the facts - for the West it is over. [more...]

Date: 2009-07-23 00:51:00

August 23 2009: Promises Unleashed

Harris & Ewing Dance Radio 1938 Dancing class, WRC studio, Washington, D.C. Ilargi: Money as Debt II: Promises Unleashed is out. And everybody has to see it. Paul Grignon expands on MaD I, also a must-see, if you haven't already watched it, as only he can do. The craziness of our money-system explained in animated form, MaD II takes off where its predecessor temporarily paused, and never looks back. [more...]

Date: 2009-08-23 23:01:00

The Federal Reserve System Expanded–Are You Kidding–How About Disbanded and Shut-Down For Incompetence–End The Fed–Videos

    “True, governments can reduce the rate of interest in the short run. They can issue  additional paper money. They can open the way to credit expansion by the banks. They can thus create an artificial boom and the appearance of prosperity. But such a boom is bound to collapse soon or late and bring about a depression.” ~Ludwig von Mises, Omnipotent Government, page 251 The Federal Reserve System is a private banking cartel that sets the price of money, serves as a lender of last [more...]

Date: 2009-06-19 00:58:46

Mortgage Delinquencies Rising – Analyst Blog

Two of the main banking regulators, the OCC and the OTS, jointly released data on mortgage performance in the second quarter today, and the news was not good. The report covers 34 million individual first mortgages totaling about $6 Trillion. All types of delinquencies were up, but most distressing was the information about serious delinquencies, or mortgages that are more than 60 days past due. They reached 5.3% of all mortgages, up from 4.7% in the first quarter, an increase of 11.5%. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-30 20:08:12


Tuesday List: Driving Election Day to Distraction Updated 4:54 p.m. ET (scroll down) What do Snoop Dogg and former Miss Universe Jennifer Hawkins have to do with today's presidential election? Absolutely nothing. (Getty Images) As long as we're planning to do our duty and vote (if you're a registered voter, find your polling place here) [more...]

Date: 2008-11-04 15:43:24

Rosner: GSEs Probably Need $100 Billion; Freddie Mac Reported to Be Meeting Treasury

Warning: Josh Rosner is controversial in some circles. He co-authored a simply terrific paper with Joe Mason, "Where Did the Risk Go? ... that if they had to mark to market and report their deferred taxes like banks do, they'd both have negative net worth ... they need to be an AAA credit, or at worst, a very strong AA. Mere solvency is BBB, perhaps even [more...]

Date: 2008-08-21 07:30:43

Posts about Mobile Internet as of August 26, 2009

Hiring the Internet goes Mobile - hiringtheinternet.com 08/26/2009 Some of our particularly sharp-eyed readers may have noticed that we’ve just upgraded our blog.  After years of being hosted as part of the Wordpress.com community of blogs, we’ve decided to make the move to the freedom afforded by self-hosting. Our main reason for making the switch is so that we can make use of some of the vast number of Wordpress extensions to add extra features to this site. [more...]

Date: 2009-08-26 18:49:00

Obama and Market Regulation – Analyst Blog

Yesterday I reviewed key sections of Obama's speech on Wall Street here: Obama On The Street. In general I liked the speech, but think that the steps he has proposed are, at best, only a good first step. I hope that the proposals are strengthened in Congress, but have zero hope of that happening. More likely they will be watered down significantly. The end result is that we will face another market meltdown in the future; the only question is when. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-15 20:52:11

Lucid Econ Links (081109, Morning)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported this morning that productivity rose 6.4% in the second quarter. Reuters says that “U.S. non-farm productivity in the second quarter rose at its fastest pace in six years as hours worked fell much steeper than output, while the cost of labor fell at the quickest rate in nine years, data showed on Tuesday.” The result beat expectations of +5.3%. In the long haul, this is a good thing. [more...]

Date: 2009-08-11 14:24:38

2nd Subprime Crisis Looming?

By Shah Gilani Contributing Writer Money Morning Is the government creating another subprime-mortgage bubble? The first time around, the three-headed federal serpent – the Bush administration, the Treasury Department and the U.S. [more...]

Date: 2009-09-26 23:20:38


Continued sharp slide in shares of mortgage finance firms raises new concerns about need for new capital, threat of government takeover [ ... , Fortune 500) and Freddie (FRE, Fortune 500) fell more than 47% from their already battered closing price ... , providing a crucial source of funding for banks and other home lenders, especially since a credit marke [more...]

Date: 2008-07-11 15:26:26

The next major move in the stock market will be DOWN

Last vestiges of a rally similar to what we saw in 1931 by Bob Chapman June 17, 2009 The next major move in the stock market will be down. We are seeing the last vestiges of a rally similar to what we saw in 1931. The rally we expected at 6600 up to 8500 will end as soon as all the financial institutions that need to sell what stock is necessary to bolster their balance sheets. Our guess is the rally has been aided in a big way by short covering and the participation of the US government. [more...]

Date: 2009-06-18 01:27:18

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News

Helicopter Ben gets second term. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will be renominated for a second four-year term. Obama will make the announcement this morning and the nomination must then be approved by the Senate. Bernanke's current four-year term ends January 31, 2010. Fed must release lending records. The Federal Reserve lost a key court battle and must release private records of its emergency lending to financial firms. [more...]

Date: 2009-08-25 11:17:44

Fed to Cut Rates, U.S. Recession Appears Likely

The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates tomorrow (Wednesday), possibly in conjunction with central bank counterparts in Europe, as fears of a global recession have intensified. However, the Fed has little room to maneuver as its benchmark Federal Funds rate is already at 2% and analysts remain skeptical that reducing it any further keep [more...]

Date: 2008-10-28 15:39:41

Home Equity LTVs In Stratosphere

Minyan Peter had some interesting comments yesterday about home equity loans. I happen to have some charts to put his comments in perspective ... ) and Freddie Mac (FRE), to me an as large, if not larger issue, is the impact of these lower prices ... that we will see again in my lifetime the availability of home equity credit that we just experienced [more...]

Date: 2008-06-05 15:55:23

I have felt for sometime that dollar strength is a counter-trend that has a sell-by date written all over it ... securities of Fannie Mae (ticker: FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE) and Ginnie Mae securities, according to a report on the Internet site of Asian Investor magazine. Such an order would be a stunning rebuke [more...]

Date: 2008-10-24 18:30:22

USRant: How's That Rally Workin' For Ya?

Boy - this is interesting. For the Dow, the S&P500 and the Nasdaq Comp, anybody who bought the index after 10:05 a.m. last Monday is now underwater ... in credit card lines by major US institutions. I have a lot of respect for Ms Whitney (or perhaps I should ... from consumer credit? Economic News Construction Spending for October fell 1.2%, which was a [more...]

Date: 2008-12-01 21:56:00

Dear Idiots: Poor people did not cause this financial crisis

Unable to self-reflect, hateful, traitorous morons like Charles Krauthammer have desperately been trying to pin the world’s current financial ... housing and credit crisis traces to the the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) of 1977. An alternative zombie myth is the credit crisis is due to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. A 1999 article from the New [more...]

Date: 2008-10-09 15:52:35

Boston Tea Party Presidential candidate Charles Jay answers Obama-McCain debate questions

Posted at cj08.com (I wasn’t invited to Friday night’s presidential debate, but you knew I was going to weigh in anyway. My “participation” comes in the way of interspersing my responses into the actual text of the debate, which you will see below. All of those responses to the questions asked by moderator Jim Lehrer are in bold type [more...]

Date: 2008-09-27 18:49:05

Same Old Mistakes, Different Day

Gustav threatens to shut down the oil rigs in the Gulf…trying to explain the mysteries of market cycles over dinner ... a year ago. Buyers - who can't get ready credit - are less able to buy. Demand, and prices go down. From the LA TIMES comes a report that prices in the Golden State have fallen 40% since the bear [more...]

Date: 2008-08-28 20:12:43

Dollar strength is an illusion

I have felt for sometime that dollar strength is a counter-trend that has a sell-by date written all over it ... securities of Fannie Mae (ticker: FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE) and Ginnie Mae securities, according to a report on the Internet site of Asian Investor magazine. Such an order would be a stunning rebuke [more...]

Date: 2008-10-24 23:22:03

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News

New acronym on the block... The government unveiled its newest initiative, called TALF, or Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility. The $200B facility will support consumer finance, including student, auto and credit card loans ... $20B of credit protection from TARP funds. This is the first time the Fed and Treasury have stepped [more...]

Date: 2008-11-26 12:14:47

MOTLEY FOOL: Berkshire Hathaway Research Project

Our First Research Project Berkshire Hathaway by Dale Wettlaufer (TMF Ralegh) ALEXANDRIA, VA (Dec. 2, 1998) -- Our First Research Project is Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A and BRK.B) Like a toddler lurching forward, taking its first steps, or a foal arising for the first time on spindly legs, we embark today on our first research project on a prospective acquisition for the Boring Portfolio. [more...]

Date: 2009-06-25 09:20:00

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News

Dems showcase stimulus package. House Democrats unveiled an unprecedented $825B stimulus plan yesterday, ... ; first-time home buyers between Jan. 1 and June 30 would get a $7,500 tax credit; local school ... the package is large enough but disagree on how the money should be spent. Still others suggest [more...]

Date: 2009-01-16 12:15:12

Credit Crunch Effects to be Felt for Years: BlackRock’s Fink

While the majority of the financial crisis tied to bad mortgages and esoteric debt structures may be waning, ... to a report published by Reuters on Wednesday. “The worst of the financial market crisis is behind ... with the turmoil have quarters to go, maybe years to go, because of the contraction of credit, the bloated [more...]

Date: 2008-06-13 13:01:03

For the U.S. Economy in the New Year, the Pain Will Precede the Promise

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn ... recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually ... again. Story continues below… Sign up right now, and we’ll send you an important new report [more...]

Date: 2008-11-10 15:43:11

Weekly Forecast: December 1 – 7, 2008

Summary of This Week’s Influences/All times listed are Eastern Standard Time (EST) General Influences: I hope you’ve noticed beautiful brilliant blue-white Venus appearing just after sunset in the southwestern sky, with yellow Jupiter getting closer to Venus each evening [more...]

Date: 2008-11-30 17:39:35

For the U.S. Economy in the New Year, the Pain Will Precede the Promise

If there’s a proverb that captures the outlook for the U.S. economy in the New Year, it’s the one that says: “It’s always darkest before the dawn ... recession, the ongoing credit crisis guarantees a contraction of the American economy by virtually ... now, and we’ll send you an important new report for free: “The Three Best Investments in Asia.” [more...]

Date: 2008-12-29 15:47:13

American Optimism, Russia’s In Trouble, But Good News For Oil, Breakthrough Med Tech, And More!

American optimism at all-time low, 2009 recession imminent… Fannie and Freddie to the rescue? Chris Mayer with good news for oil investors. Another day, another double-digit decline… Russian market, currency plummeting. Pat Cox with a “huge” breakthrough medical tech about to become reality. Have we hit a nerve? [more...]

Date: 2008-11-12 21:43:33

MortgageNewsClips: MUST READ - Kroszer, Florida and Fraud, CW Opinion 112 pages, Fitch Revises, Jumbos Down 71%, 100 Year Bond, FED Target, Different?, Harvard Hit, Loss Mit is HOT, Return to Trend, 5 more

  this is highly excellent if you care about securitization’s future - a must read - BC - Speech by Governor ... No. 1 in mortgage fraud - Michael Van Sickler - A national report released Tuesday said Florida leads ... —— Dividend.com Jumbo Loan Originations Down 71% (FNM, FRE) - By Dividend.com Staff - [more...]

Date: 2008-12-05 00:41:01

American Gold IRA Report: Fed bets $800 billion on consumers

Central bank and Treasury announce a massive plan to jumpstart lending. By Chris Isidore, CNNMoney ... to make $200 billion available for a range of consumer loans - including credit cards and car loans ... how much additional credit the program might make available to consumers in time to feed purchases [more...]

Date: 2008-11-25 17:26:54

Gonna Bailout Party Like It’s 1999

Well, what’s next with the government bailout that was going to save our bacon? ... , that's 1999 : Fannie Mae Eases Credit to Aid Mortgage Lending. “In a move that could help increase home ... the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders. The action, which [more...]

Date: 2008-12-24 11:50:39

December California Defaults up 100%

Mr Mortgage is a 20-year mortgage banking veteran, specializing in wholesale and correspondent sales and sales/operations management and bringing ... housing, mortgage and credit meltdown’ and company-specific events. He owns and is the primary ... to the Truth located at http://mrmortgage.ml-implode.com ~~~~ Mr. Mortgage: Dec CA Foreclosure Report [more...]

Date: 2009-01-16 17:15:46

Meredith Whitney Trashes Citi (C), Fannie (FNM), Freddie (FRE): The Complete Maria Bartiromo/CNBC Interview

Maria had Meredith Whitney on again yesterday. Meredith's view of the collapsing financial industry hasn't gotten any sunnier. Specifically: Credit crunch still less than half done Financial institutions need capital ... : Futures say 33% peak-to-trough, most banks estimating far less, Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE), too [more...]

Date: 2008-07-31 13:50:00

Fed: No Discount Window for FNM, FRE

Go figure: In the midst of a deep selloff, a bullish rumor seems to have been planted that would allow for the rescue of Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac FRE). It turns out to have been shite: "Federal Reserve has not had any ... Stearns Cos. in March to alleviate the credit crisis." These bullish bull$%*# rumors end up costing [more...]

Date: 2008-07-12 10:43:15

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